NAHREP: State of Hispanic Homeownership Report

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The National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals’ recently released their The State of Hispanic Homeownership Report. The 24-page document offers an update on the Hispanic homebuyer market and traces Hispanics’s rise in household formations and reveals the variables that make them homeownership-ready and able to drive demand in the current  homebuyer market.

According to the report, Hispanics continue to lead the surge in U.S. homeownership and accounted 51% of the total net increase of owner households. The number of Hispanic homeowners grew from 4.24 million in 2000 to 6.69 million in 2012, a remarkable increase of 58 percent at a time when the rest of the U.S. population saw a net increase of only 5 percent.

Some of the key statistics highlighted in the report include:

Population

Hispanics continue to lead population growth in America. Hispanics have accounted for more than half of the U.S. population increase over the past decade. Every month, 50,000 young Hispanics reach the age of 18. More notably, Hispanics dominate household growth. Over one million Hispanic households were formed in 2012, compared to a decrease of 704,000 non-Hispanic White households.

Income

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Thinking of Buying Your Dream Home? DO IT NOW!

A recent survey showed that 3 out of 4 future home buyers (who are not first time buyers) plan to move up to some form of a ‘better’ home. The breakdown:

  • Move to a significantly bigger home (49%)
  • Move to a nicer home (17.5%)
  • Move to a nicer part of town (8.6%)

If you or your family falls into any one of these categories, you should strongly consider making the move sooner than later. The ‘cost’ of your new dream house will be determined by two factors: the price of the house and the mortgage interest rate. Both are projected to increase this year.

Prices Set to Increase

In the recent Home Price Expectation Survey, 105 leading housing analysts called for a 3.1% increase in home values by the end of 2013.

Thank you to The KCM Crew for the post

Should Your Buyers Increase Their Offer?

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 Limited inventory and a very strong demand for housing has created an environment where bidding wars are commonplace in today’s real estate market. Homes priced properly are getting multiple offers within a short time of coming to market. This brings about a dilemma for the agent: How should they advise their client who is about to make an offer when other offers will also be presented?

Over the last several years, there wasn’t any pressure on the buyer to adjust their offer for three reasons:

  1. There were plenty of homes for sale
  2. Prices were falling
  3. Mortgage interest rates were falling

They buyer could find another home easily for probably less money and a lower mortgage rate. There was no downside to not ‘upping the ante’. However, in today’s market, things have dramatically changed.

HOUSING INVENTORY

A normal real estate market has between 5-6 months worth of inventory. Over the last several years, the inventory of homes for sale had skyrocketed to 10 months. Most buyers in almost any price range had a multitude of houses to choose from. Today, the national month’s supply of inventory has fallen below five months. In many markets, there is not enough housing inventory to satisfy the current demand.

Conclusion: If the buyer loses the house they are bidding on, there is no guarantee they will find a similar home anytime soon.

HOME PRICES

Because of the limited inventory, home prices are again appreciating. The Case Shiller Pricing Index revealed that house prices rose by 6.8% in 2012. Experts are projecting home prices to increase by 5% to 8% in 2013.

Conclusion: If the buyer doesn’t get this house, there is a good likelihood that a similar home will cost more in the future.

MORTGAGE RATES

The ‘cost’ of a home to a buyer is determined by the price of the house and the expense associated with the financing. Mortgage rates are projected to inch up in 2013. In a recent forecast, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicted that rates could climb as high as 4.3% by the end of the year.

Conclusion: If interest rates do inch up, the ‘cost’ of the next home could be impacted significantly.

Bottom Line

If a buyer truly loves the house they are bidding on, it probably makes sense to raise their bid now instead of waiting for another dream house to appear.

 

Real Estate is Back!

After five long years of bad news, the prognosis for the health of the U.S. real estate market in 2013 is surprisingly strong. The largest real estate social network in the world, ActiveRain, recently surveyed 2,430 real estate professionals and found that there is great optimism regarding the future of the U.S. real estate market and economy. Since U.S. economic recoveries often come on the back of the real estate market, a rebound in real estate is a great sign for the economy as well.Real Estate is Back

Thank you to The KCM Crew for this post.

3 Financial Reasons to Buy a Home NOW! (Part 1)

Part I – Prices Are Rising at an Accelerated Rate

The price of a home is the major consideration when deciding whether or not it makes financial sense to purchase a house. Experts are not only projecting that house values will increase in 2013. They are also more optomistic in the level of appreciation they are projecting as the market begins to heat up. Here are some examples:

The Home Price Expectation Survey

The latest survey of a nationwide panel of 118 economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists reveals they project home values to end 2013 up an average of 4.6% according to the first quarter. This is after they had projected a 3.1% increase just three months ago.

Bank of America

In a report titled, Someone Say House Party?, Bank of America analysts revised their projections upward:

“Home prices continue to show momentum amid shrinking inventory and record high affordability, prompting us to revise up our original forecast of 4.7% for home prices this year. We now expect national home prices, as defined by the S&P Case Shiller home price index, to increase 8% this year.”

Capital Economics

According to a report in DSNews, Capital Economics also upgraded their prediction:

“Strong demand and tight inventory have brought existing home sales back to ‘normal’ levels, and further gains are possible, according to the latest market report from Capital Economics. Additionally, market conditions may prompt lenders to “loosen the purse strings slightly” and lend a little more freely.

These conditions, combined with broader economic indicators, lead Capital Economics to revise its previous forecast of a 5% price gain this year up to 8%.”

Morgan Stanley

In an article from HousingWire, Morgan Stanley joined the party:

“Strong momentum in home prices as well as housing activity gave Morgan Stanley analysts enough confidence to upgrade their home price appreciation projections to roughly 7% (from 5%) for 2013, according to its latest global securitized credit report…

“The momentum in most metrics of housing activity is running well ahead of the pace we had expected,” said James Egan, Jose Cambronero and Vishwanath Tirupattur, analysts for Morgan Stanley.” 

Not only are prices projected to appreciate. Experts are actually revising their projections upward as demand maintains its momentum.

Tomorrow, we will look at increasing interest rates.

 

Thank you to the KCM Crew for the post.

 

 

Are Young Adults Buying Homes Again?


Sales of residential properties are back to the highs experienced at the expiration of the Home Buyers Tax Credit in April 2010. One of the reasons for this surge in purchasing is that young adults may again be entering the market.

Over the last few years, many young adults stayed on the sidelines (some in their parents’ homes) while waiting for the overall economy and the housing market to stabilize. This group represents a pent-up purchasing demand which is now coming to market.

Last summer, the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University released a study which addressed this demographic:

“Surveys consistently find that the overwhelming majority of young adults plan to own a home in the future, but many would-be buyers have stayed on the sidelines waiting for the job outlook to improve and house prices to stop falling. But as markets tighten, these fence-sitters may begin to take advantage of today’s lower home prices and unusually low mortgage rates.”

This may be taking place already.

It seems this is beginning to take place. The Census Bureau recently reported that annual household formations are almost back to boom time numbers:

  • § Boom Years: 1,250,000 annual formations
  • § 2008-2011: 650,000 annual formations
  • § 2012: 1,150,000 annual formations

Freddie Mac is projecting 1,250,000 new household formations in 2013.

These new households will be divided between purchases and rentals. However, we must realize this group believes strongly in homeownership. Here are three examples:

  1. 43% of young adults between the ages of 18-34 years old already own a home.
  2. 72% of young adults between the ages of 18-34 years old see homeownership as part of their personal American Dream.
  3. 93% of young adults between the ages of 18-34 years old, who currently rent, plan to buy a home.

It will be interesting to follow this trend as prices rise and interest rates inch upward.

 

 

 

 

Hiking Trails In Arizona!

The Arizona landscape is so diverse from the desert and mountain hiking trails in the Phoenix, Scottsdale and Tucson areas to the cool high country of Northern Arizona, Arizona Lakes, Rivers, Grand Canyon, Superstition Mountains, White Mountains, Slot Canyons and wilderness backcountry. Hiking Arizona trails is a magical experience whether you choose short, easy hikes or long strenuous hikes. There are beginner trails, day urban hikes and trails that only the experienced should attempt.

There are literally hundreds and hundreds of trails scattered throughout Arizona and the best way to expose an Arizona resident or vacationer to the wide variety of hiking choices is to give you links to some of the best Arizona hiking websites and web pages.

Greater Phoenix Trails

Northern Arizona Hiking Trails

White Mountains Hiking Trails

Southern Arizona Hiking

Southern Arizona Hiking Trails

Highly Recommended Hiking Websites

Arizona Hiking Trails
This is one of the most in depth, comprehensive Arizona Hiking websites on the web listing over 100 hiking trails in Arizona with detailed overviews. Select trails by Arizona region.

Weekend Warriors Hiking Guide

 

This website overviews over a hundred Arizona trails including directions and maps. You can spend hours in this website.

 

Thank you to our friends at Arizona Highways.

Is There a Window of Opportunity for Sellers Right Now?

One of the most interesting revelations of the latest National Association of Realtors (NAR) Existing Home Sales Reportis the shortage of housing inventory being reported throughout much of the country. At the same time, buyer demand is dramatically up over last year.  Here are some key points:

  • Total housing inventory at the end of January fell 4.9 percent to 1.74 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 4.2-month supply at the current sales pace.
  • This represents the lowest housing supply since April 2005 when it was also 4.2 months.
  • Listed inventory is 25.3 percent below a year ago when there was a 6.2-month supply.
  • Raw unsold inventory is at the lowest level since December 1999 when there were 1.71 million homes on the market.

What Does This Mean if You Are Selling a Home?

The price of anything is determined by supply and demand. According to NAR’s report, inventory is at its lowest level since the real estate boom eight years ago. At the same time, demand is up. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, reveals:

“Buyer traffic is continuing to pick up, while seller traffic is holding steady. In fact, buyer traffic is 40 percent above a year ago, so there is plenty of demand but insufficient inventory to improve sales more strongly. We’ve transitioned into a seller’s market in much of the country.”

Does that mean you should sell your house now? Or should you wait to see if prices increase? Nobody knows for sure. However, some feel that there may be a pent-up inventory about to come to the market because, as prices increase, it will free up some sellers who have been locked in a negative equity situation (where the house is worth less than the remaining mortgage).

Thank you to The KCM Blog for this post.